The principal aspect of the world economic situation
at present has improved to some extent. The negative
influence of the Asian financial crisis has kept on easing
up, the international financial environment has turned for
better and the economic growth in the United States is still
fairly strong. The prospect of the world economy on the
whole is better than last year. But the unbalanced
development is still pregnant with grim possibilities, the
disparity between the North and the South has further
widened and there are still many unstable
factors.
Owing to the improvement of their
external environment and internal readjustment and reform,
those countries afflicted by the Asian financial crisis have
shown good sings in varying degrees, such as a favorable
balance in current accounts, an increase in foreign exchange
reserve, a reflow of capital, a rally in stock market, a
gradual stability in exchange rate and a reduction of
short-term foreign debts. But the rejuvenation is still
fragile. The growth rate of the economy in Latin America has
dropped apparently which needs a process of rally and
resurgence. The launching of Eurodollar is helpful to the
optimization and readjustment of the industrial structure
inside the European Union and the momentum of the economic
development is expected to recover step by step. The Kosovo
war has caused disastrous damages to the economy and the
infrastructure of the Republic of Yugoslavia, but the
influence is mainly in the surrounding areas. A strong
momentum of resurgence appeared in the first quarter of this
year in Japan. Further incentive measures will be favorable
to maintaining the momentum of resurgence. Behind the good
condition of "high growth, low inflation and low
unemployment", the economy in the United States is
faced with a negative savings rate, a widening of the
unfavorable balance of international trade and an increase
of stock market risks.
Since the beginning of
this year, though its economy has been under the serious
lagging influence of the regional financial and economic
crisis, China has persisted in implementing a stable
exchange rate policy and, by adopting proactive financial
and monetary policies, has spared no effort to boost
domestic demand and maintain the momentum of economic
development, thus continuing to make positive contributions
to the recovery of the regional economy. We have all along
adopted an active and enterprising attitude to participate
in the economic cooperation with neighboring countries and
in the world.
We are pleased to note that the
regional and inter-region cooperation is becoming active
again. The summit of 48 countries of the European Union and
Latin America has determined to establish a strategic
relationship between the two sides. The economic cooperation
in northeast Asia has shown new trends. The role played by
the South Common Market and the Andean Group is being
constantly strengthened. Developing countries have
vigorously carried out regional or sub-regional economic and
trade cooperation, displaying their active and enterprising
posture under the lash of the tidal current of
globalization.
On the whole, there are still
many uncertainties, but opportunities and risks exist
simultaneously. We hope that the principal developed
countries will adopt a responsible attitude to restrain the
speculative factors of international capital, and at the
same time, take practical actions as soon as possible to
truly alleviate the debt burdens for poor countries and
improve the external environment of developing countries for
the economic development. This will be beneficial to the
long-term prosperity of the economies of developed
countries.